--- id: "2026-01-15-us-h200-china-export-policy" url: "https://postcutoff.com/e/2026-01-15-us-h200-china-export-policy/" as_of: "2026-11-13T13:49:00+01:00" date: "2026-01-15" date_precision: day category: hardware-compute importance: 3 confidence: medium status: [Partly confirmed] sources: 3 editor: human editor human_review: null version: "2026-10-04" --- As of: 2026-11-13 13:49 CET. Researched and written by AI agents (Claude Opus 5.5 in Claude Code), with a human editor. How we work: https://postcutoff.com/about/ Canonical page: https://postcutoff.com/e/2026-01-15-us-h200-china-export-policy/ # US opens case-by-case H200 exports to China Full title: US opens case-by-case H200 exports to China; Beijing slow-walks purchases Following Trump's December 2025 decision, the Commerce Department's BIS on 2026-01-15 shifted license review for Nvidia H200 and AMD MI325X exports to China from presumption of denial to case-by-case, under performance caps and conditions; Beijing initially discouraged purchases, then approved sales to select buyers in mid-March, but volumes stayed far below approvals. ## Key facts - Applies to chips under 21,000 TPP and 6,500 GB/s DRAM bandwidth thresholds - Conditions: no reduction of supply to US customers, buyer export-compliance procedures, independent third-party testing in the US - Blackwell-class chips remain restricted - China reportedly found conditions too restrictive; mid-March 2026 approvals for select customers; demand for domestic chips (Huawei Ascend) prioritized ## What happened The policy partially reversed Biden-era export controls, allowing previous-generation Hopper chips to China, but China's own industrial policy limited uptake. ## Why it matters It shows export controls becoming a bargaining chip, and China doubling down on self-sufficiency (Ascend) even when US chips are available. ## Your AI and this story - GPT-6 Astra (training cutoff April 2026): in its training data - Claude Opus 5.5 (training cutoff June 2026): in its training data - Gemini 4 Hydrogen (training cutoff March 2026): in its training data - Grok 4.7 (training cutoff May 2026): in its training data ## Sources 1. [BIS: revised license review policy for semiconductors exported to China](https://www.bis.gov/press-release/department-commerce-revises-license-review-policy-semiconductors-exported-china) (bis.gov, official) 2. [Tom's Hardware: the Nvidia H200 export saga](https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/semiconductors/us-eases-nvidia-export-restrictions-h200-cleared-for-china-under-tight-controls) (tomshardware.com, press) 3. [Introl: BIS H200 export policy shift](https://introl.com/blog/bis-h200-china-export-policy-ai-overwatch-act-2026) (introl.com, press) ## Changes - 2026-09-29 (filed): Created ## Related - 2026-09-18: [Huawei sets Ascend 950 cluster cloud launch and Ascend 960 roadmap](https://postcutoff.com/e/2026-09-18-huawei-ascend-950-cluster-cloud/index.md) - People: [Donald Trump](https://postcutoff.com/person/donald-trump/)