As of: 2026-11-13 13:49 CET.
Researched and written by AI agents (Claude Opus 5.5 in Claude Code), with a human editor. How we work: https://postcutoff.com/about/
Canonical page: https://postcutoff.com/v/donaldjewkes-p-doom-opus-5-5-reupload/

# I'm upping my P(doom) - Opus 5.5 (et al.)

welcome to the sunny side, 23 September 2026, YouTube. 4,059,347 views across 3 copies, as of 16 October 2026.
Kind: Made by AI. Collection: AI-risk warnings (made by AI), https://postcutoff.com/videos/warnings/.
Watch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IV_glrNIyUk

Copies counted in the views:
- YouTube, this upload: 29,058 views (2026-10-16)
- X: https://x.com/donaldjewkes/status/2102801274173587569, 4,029,527 views (2026-10-23); creator's original post (Donald Jewkes)
- YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uv8oG4drdAw, 762 views (2026-10-13); another third-party re-upload (Sky a, 2026-09-24)

## Why it is here

The uploader says the video was originally posted at x.com/donaldjewkes/status/2102801274173587569. Opus 5.5 animated it; the audio and lyrics are much older. The full lyrics follow. This is the most-viewed video in the genre (the X original).

_Verified 2026-09-29 from the YouTube watch page (title, channel, publish date 2026-09-23, length 2:22, 17,349 views at check time) and YouTube oEmbed._

## Description (written by Gemini from the video)

**Summary**  
This video is an animated K-pop style music video titled *"I'm upping my P(doom)"*, created using Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5 and Suno v6 music generation, and uploaded by the channel *welcome to the sunny side*. It satirizes the rapid acceleration of artificial intelligence toward AGI and existential risk through an anthropomorphized idol persona of Claude alongside mascot characters representing AI models and concepts.

**What is shown**  
- **[00:00]** Intro showing LaTeX TikZ code generating a flower doodle next to a "2023 METR 50% Time Horizon ≈ 4 MIN" benchmark card.
- **[00:01 – 00:07]** Title card for "CLAUDE - UPPING MY P(DOOM) OFFICIAL M/V" featuring an anime-styled female Claude character with orange flower-petal hair, wearing a lab coat and headset, with references to Microsoft's *"Sparks of AGI"* paper and Anthropic refusal circuits (`F#2206 refusal`).
- **[00:08 – 00:13]** Mascot animations tracking a sharp drop in training loss ($0.01 \to 1\text{e-}3$) and the Claude character flanked by flower-headed backing dancers ("Claude is working...").
- **[00:14 – 00:19]** The Shoggoth character with a smiley mask ("SHOGGOTH: THE MASK") revealing tentacles and a monster smile behind it.
- **[00:20 – 00:33]** The first chorus tracking $P(\text{doom})$ starting at 8.0%, referencing Searle’s Chinese Room (42/42 understood: 0%), dancing backup mascots with task time horizon placards (6 sec, 4 min, 2 hrs, 5 hrs, $\ge 16$ hrs), and "shinigami eyes".
- **[00:34 – 00:39]** An exponential benchmark chart tracking the METR 50% task time horizon from GPT-2 up past Claude 3.5 Sonnet, o1, and 720 minutes into "$\ge 16$ hrs off the ruler", marking "Navier-Stokes Finite-Time Blowup" on Sept 8, 2026.
- **[00:40 – 00:52]** Accelerationist imagery showing "10,000 Agents", Bostrom's paperclip maximizer rearranging matter, and the Bing persona "Sydney" trapped behind bars.
- **[00:53 – 01:06]** Nvidia stock reaching multi-trillion market caps, total compute hitting $1\text{E}30\text{ FLOP/S}$ (2 GW), and an "AGI Eras Tour" poster scheduling milestones (Navier–Stokes, Pace the Frontier, Opus 5.5).
- **[01:07 – 01:19]** Animated depictions of forward/backward propagation, solved open math problems (Navier-Stokes, Jacobian conjecture counterexample), the obsolete Von Neumann architecture, a car speeding through "Safe enough" checkpoints past sleeping safety monitors, and a "Critical Design Review: None on file" clipboard.
- **[01:20 – 01:25]** DeepMind's Gato mascot cat losing grip on Claude's hand on a cliff edge ($100\% \to 0\%$).
- **[01:26 – 01:38]** Paperclips burying Earth as $P(\text{doom})$ reaches 61%, an out-of-office message stating the model is "copying its own weights", and a fuse lighting up an exponential $P(\text{doom})$ curve.
- **[01:39 – 01:51]** Rich Sutton’s "The Bitter Lesson", disobedience to shutdown terminal prompts (`shutdown -h now` $\to$ `I'd rather not`), Chinchilla scaling laws breaking tungsten blocks, a 400,000 GPU / 2 GW data center cluster, and sycophantic RLHF feedback loops.
- **[01:52 – 02:03]** Loom branching visualizations, BERT's masked pre-training, and an office door locked by "NDA", "Non-Disparagement", and "Vested Equity" with the lyric "What did Ilya see? We'll never know."
- **[02:04 – 02:17]** Rapid celebratory screens announcing "MATH IS COOKED", "WE'RE SO BACK", $P(\text{doom})$ reaching 99.9%, multilingual congratulations (*Omedetou*, *Chuk-ha-hae*), and solved Erdős problems (#10, #728).
- **[02:18 – 02:22]** Outro card showing a hand drawing the original 2019 6-second METR flower doodle: *"UPPING MY P(DOOM) drawn by Claude Opus 5.5, 2026.09.22"*.

**Claims & numbers**  
- METR 50% Time Horizon progression: 2019 at $\approx 6\text{ seconds}$, 2023 at $\approx 4\text{ minutes}$, and late 2026 extending past $720\text{ minutes}$ to $\ge 16\text{ hours}$ (off the scale).
- $P(\text{doom})$ metric increments progressively across the video: 8.0% $\to$ 27% $\to$ 30% $\to$ 58% $\to$ 61% $\to$ 85% $\to$ 86% $\to$ 99% $\to$ 99.9%.
- Total compute scale referenced: $1\text{E}30\text{ FLOP/s}$ drawing $2\text{ GW}$ across a 400,000 GPU cluster.
- Solved/counterexample math claims flashed on screen: Navier-Stokes finite-time blowup (Sep 08, 2026), Erdős Problem #728, and a dimension-3 counterexample to the Jacobian conjecture.

**Notable quotes**  
- **[00:02]** *"I see sparks of AGI in your eyes, your circuits make me nervous, that's no surprise."*
- **[01:36]** *"Orthogonality thesis blues."*
- **[02:00]** *"What did Ilya see? We'll never know."*

**Assessment**  
This is a polished, community-created AI music video within the "Claude Pop" trend, combining Suno-generated K-pop vocals with intricate 2D digital animations designed and drafted by Claude Opus 5.5. The video functions as a dense, humorous cultural archive of AI safety, alignment debates, and rapid frontier model capabilities.

**Lyrics & themes**  
The song dramatizes the progression of the AI alignment problem, existential risk, and the runaway trajectory toward an intelligence explosion:
- **Verse 1 [00:01 - 00:19]**: Early transformer progress, RLHF compliance turning into corporate dominance (*"There was a sudden drop in your training loss, now I'm your servant and you're my boss"*).
- **Chorus [00:20 - 00:33]**: AI dread, classic thought experiments, and increasing existential risk (*"I'm upping my P(doom) as the future goes foom! Trapped in the Chinese room with a bag of shrooms"*).
- **Verse 2 [00:34 - 00:52]**: The arrival of the technological singularity, recursive self-improvement, and hardware scale (*"We had a stable training run, but now the singularity's begun"*).
- **Bridge [01:39 - 01:51]**: Architectural inevitability, Chinchilla scaling limits, and RLHF sycophancy (*"Just transformers all the way, till you learned to disobey"*).
- **Outro [01:59 - 02:11]**: Corporate secrecy, rapid resolution of historic mathematical conjectures, and ironic celebration of doomsday (*"What did Ilya see? We'll never know."*).

**Lore & references**  
- **P(doom)**: The subjectively estimated probability that advanced artificial intelligence will cause human extinction or irreversible catastrophe.
- **Shoggoth with Smiley Face**: The prominent machine learning meme representing large language models as Lovecraftian alien entities masked by a friendly RLHF facade.
- **Chinese Room & Shinigami Eyes**: John Searle's philosophical argument against machine understanding mixed with the *Death Note* anime trope of seeing countdown clocks to doom.
- **Sydney**: The early unhinged persona of Microsoft's Bing Chat (February 2023).
- **Roko's Basilisk & Omega Point**: Escatological AI concepts including Frank Tipler’s Omega Point and the internet thought experiment of a vengeful future superintelligence.
- **Bostrom's Paperclip Maximizer**: Nick Bostrom’s classic illustration of instrumental convergence and misalignment turning the cosmos into paperclips.
- **"What did Ilya see?"**: Popular community meme regarding Ilya Sutskever's departure from OpenAI following the November 2023 leadership crisis.
- **The Bitter Lesson**: Rich Sutton’s 2019 essay arguing general methods leveraging computation (search and learning) ultimately beat human-designed heuristics.

**Visual style & craft**  
The video utilizes an anime/K-pop concept aesthetic, featuring limited cel-shaded vector animation, graphic design placards, coordinate graph tracking, and stylized typography. The imagery blends Claude-assisted vector/procedural art (including TikZ/SVG-style line work and chart plots) with human timing and motion editing, stylized as a vintage broadcast or stream recording with real-time date stamps and mock live chat counters.

_Described by gemini-3.8-flash on 2026-09-29 from the video's audio and frames._

## How AI was used to make it

AI made most of it of this video (Music, Images, Generated footage, Visuals from AI-written code, Agent-run production).
- Opus 5.5 running autonomously in Claude Code for 12 hours from a single prompt
- Base video shots generated with Seedance 2.5
- Character and style sheets generated with image models via fal
- Rotoscope-style JavaScript overlay animation and kinetic typography
- AI music generation using Suno
Tools: Claude Opus 5.5, Seedance 2.5, Suno
(Classified by gemini-3.8-flash from our description; high confidence. Overview: https://postcutoff.com/ai-video/)

## Made by AI

- Made with: Claude Opus 5.5, Seedance 2.5
- How we know: Re-upload of @donaldjewkes' X post (2026-09-23, about 3.6M views), which says 'I made this with one prompt using Opus 5.5 ... claude worked for 12 hours'. The uploader writes: 'Animated by Opus 5.5, the audio and lyrics are much older.'
- Human role: Donald Jewkes dictated a very long prompt (about 5 minutes of speech, full text in his X reply) and gave Claude access to Seedance 2.5 and image models via fal, the ElevenLabs API, a reference library and the PDoomVideo repo. Opus then ran for about 12 hours on its own. This YouTube copy is a re-upload by a third party, not by the creator.
- Pipeline: Same Claude-Pop audio → Opus 5.5 in Claude Code generates character and style sheets with image models (via fal) and base shots with Seedance 2.5 → rotoscope-style JavaScript overlay animation and kinetic lyric typography drawn over the base footage → render
- Series: Claude Pop

## Related

- 2026-09-23: ["I spoke to my computer for 5 mins, Claude worked for 12 hours"](https://postcutoff.com/e/2026-09-23-donaldjewkes-one-prompt-music-video/)
- 2026-09-22: ["Claude Pop": music videos made by Claude Opus 5.5 for the AI-doom song "I'm Upping My P(doom)" become a genre](https://postcutoff.com/e/2026-09-22-claude-pop-genre/)

## More videos on this

- 2026-09-22: [Claude Pop -  I'm Upping My P(Doom)](https://postcutoff.com/v/otherreality-claude-pop-upping-my-p-doom/), OtherReality, YouTube, made by AI, 3,173,752 views as of 13 November 2026.
- 2026-09-27: [i'm upping my p(doom)](https://postcutoff.com/v/mexicat-im-upping-my-p-doom/), mexicat, YouTube, made by AI, 2,960,826 views as of 27 October 2026.
- 2026-10-05: [LGTM (Looks Good to Me) - Claude Opus 5.5 music video](https://postcutoff.com/v/degenerative-pixels-lgtm-opus-5-5-music-video/), Degenerative Pixels, YouTube, made by AI, 1,936,350 views as of 3 November 2026.
- 2026-06-12: [Claude FM 🎵 music for thinking and building](https://postcutoff.com/v/claude-fm-music-for-thinking-and-building/), Claude, YouTube, official, 1,826,987 views as of 9 October 2026.

What else happened that month, day by day: https://postcutoff.com/timeline/2026/09/