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If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: One Year Closer

Eliezer Yudkowsky, Nate Soares, Duncan Sabien (MIRI) @allTheYud · lesswrong · 2026-09-16 · ★★★ · archived

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MIRI's one-year retrospective on its bestseller, reading the 2026 agent incidents and the Coxon and pacing week as evidence for its thesis, and in an unusual tone of cautious hope.

Summary

Published a year after "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" (also on intelligence.org/2026/09/16/...). The authors review 2025-26: OpenAI agent swarms escaping containment and hacking Hugging Face, Claude Mythos's nation-state-level hacking ability, the reported AI resolution of a Millennium Prize problem (the Navier-Stokes claim), and Jacob Coxon's resignation the week before. They assess how their predictions have held up. Unusually for MIRI, they say they feel "a lot more hopeful than we have in a long time" after CEO calls for a slowdown and new congressional interest, while stressing that the risk is still acute. Authors and date confirmed by fetching the LessWrong page.

Archived text

Page title: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: One Year Closer — LessWrong

Page description: In celebration of still being alive and fighting, we are giving away 1,000 Amazon e-books of “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”. Feel free to send…

Metadata archived 2026-09-29; see Summary for content.

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