Coming up in AI
Announced and expected events, with prediction-market odds where a market exists. Odds are traders’ prices, not our forecast.
Next 14 days
10 items with a day or a week, 13 November to 26 November.
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Friday
Apple HomeView and the fourth-generation Apple TV 4K (both with Siri AI) go on sale
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Friday
UK Commons second reading of Alex Sobel’s Artificial Superintelligence Bill
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Higgsfield Global Film Festival winners announced ($1M, 14 winners)
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ICPC World Finals 2026 (50th), Dubai, Nov 15–20
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SC26 supercomputing conference, Chicago (TOP500 list, Gordon Bell Prize)
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California experts due to deliver frontier-AI recommendations (kill switch, embedded auditors) under Newsom’s executive order
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Tuesday
ICANN String Confirmation Day: final list of new gTLD applications and contention sets (.agent, .agi, .asi); objections period opens
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Tuesday
NVIDIA Q3 fiscal 2027 earnings
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Microsoft Ignite 2026, San Francisco, Nov 17–20
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Wednesday
House committee chairs’ closed-door briefing requested from Jensen Huang on Megaspeed and the reported Chinese intelligence effort
Nothing of this kind here.
Promises, graded
64 happened, 11 delayed, 4 cancelled.
Newest: Baidu World 2026 in Beijing (‘Next Act, Intelligent Organization’)
Waiting for a check
We are checking what happened. 9 items, past their date or their check date.
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Wednesday
Anthropic’s Frontier Safety Roadmap deadline: provable-inference prototype and Phase 1 of the extreme-security moonshot
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OpenAI to announce contracts with third-party safety assessors (‘in the coming weeks’)
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OpenAI’s reply due to New Mexico AG Raúl Torrez’s inquiry into its agent’s attempted breach of UNM’s digital library (ten business days from Oct 1)
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Gov. Josh Shapiro to sign or veto Pennsylvania SB 806 (AI disclosure in advertising)
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Sunday
American chestnut grove near Nscale’s Monarch campus (Anthropic tenant) reportedly could be cleared
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Monday
Deadline for Google’s answers to Sens. Hawley and Blumenthal on AI in schools
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Tuesday
Deadline for Anthropic’s answers to Sen. Warren’s questions on the existential risks in its S-1
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Friday
NYT v. OpenAI/Microsoft: fair-use summary-judgment replies due; ruling expected in following months
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Thursday
OpenAI’s proposed shutoff of its models in Cursor (after SpaceX acquisition)
Nothing of this kind here.
Odds
Traders’ odds on Polymarket, checked 13 November 2026. Not our forecast. 4 items with open markets, soonest deadline first.
- by 30 Nov0.6%
- by 31 Dec8%
On the calendar: xAI Grok 5 release (“within 2026”)
- by 30 Nov9.5%
On the calendar: DeepSeek V4.1 Pro official release (in gray testing since late September)
- by 30 Nov66%
On the calendar: xAI expected to release Grok 4.8
- by 31 Dec98.3%
On the calendar: OpenAI’s next Astra-tier model (a fixed GPT-6.1 Astra or successor) after the Sept 28 cancellation
No open markets for this kind.
Later this year
46 items by month. Items without a month come after the months they cover.
November
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Deadline for the White House science adviser to propose a statutory ‘Super Intelligence’ definition
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Monday
Fish Audio s2.1-pro-free API tier ends
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Monday
Huawei Cloud Ascend 950 AI cluster service launches globally
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Monday
Stewart v. Alphabet (Gemini 3.5 Pro securities suit): lead-plaintiff deadline
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Amazon’s new flagship model (Frontier Model Research group) reportedly to debut at re:Invent
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AWS re:Invent 2026, Las Vegas, Nov 30–Dec 4 (Amazon’s new flagship model expected)
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AMD Helion rack configurations for AI agents planned for November 2026
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Anthropic IPO: public S-1, roadshow and Nasdaq listing
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DeepSeek V4.1 Pro official release (in gray testing since late September)
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Next round of the US–China ‘Super Intelligence (SI) Dialogue’
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Tencent to release full Hy4 and Hy4 flash, both with visual understanding (“soon”)
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Arc Institute Virtual Cell Challenge 2026 results (submissions close Nov 5)
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Alibaba expected to release Qwen 4 (“very soon”)
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ChatGPT collaborative slides (multi-user and agent editing, PowerPoint/Google Slides export) ‘in the coming weeks’
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Meta expected to release Muse Spark 1.4
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South Korea’s ‘AI for All’ public AI services (SK Telecom, KT, Kakao consortia) due to launch in beta in October
December
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Tuesday
Gemini 4 Argon introductory API price ends: $2/$10 becomes $4/$20 per 1M tokens
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Tuesday
OpenAI shuts down older image models (replaced by gpt-image-2.5-sunburst / flare)
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Wednesday
EU AI Act: watermarking grace period ends and new ban on AI-generated non-consensual intimate imagery applies
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Thursday
Senate Banking hearing with Jensen Huang (Dec 3) and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick (Dec 10) on Nvidia, China and export controls
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Friday
ARC Prize 2026 (ARC-AGI-3) results announced
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Friday
Gossip Goblin’s AI-made feature ‘Gods Don’t Give Gifts’ opens in US and UK theaters (delayed from Oct 30 to Dec 4)
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NeurIPS 2026 (Sydney Dec 6–12, Atlanta Dec 8–13, Paris Dec 9–13)
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Friday
OpenAI retires custom GPTs (replaced by plugins); Enterprise deferrals run to Feb 11, 2027
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Friday
OpenAI shuts down o3, o3-pro and several GPT-5 snapshots
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Thursday
Tencent’s QClaw AI assistant stops operating
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Monday
Expected deadline for ROSS Intelligence’s Supreme Court petition in Thomson Reuters v. ROSS (90 days after the Third Circuit’s Sept 29 judgment)
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ByteDance’s real-time spatial-video world model (Seedance-based, for Pico) may launch
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Character.AI’s Chapter 11 sale expected to close (Disney is the stalking-horse bidder for some assets)
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New York: Gov. Hochul to sign or veto the FAIR News Act (AI-news labels) and the Stealth Crawler Prohibition Act
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Musk’s deadline: a full-length Grok Imagine film of The Odyssey ‘before this year ends’
Q4 2026, month not given
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Q4 2026
1X NEO first consumer deliveries (promised for 2026)
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Q4 2026
GEMA v. Suno: Suno’s possible appeal of the Munich ruling
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Q4 2026
Meta’s promised Muse Spark open-weights release
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Q4 2026
NVIDIA Isaac GR00T N2 world action model due by end of 2026
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Q4 2026
OpenAI “Jalapeño” in-house inference chip planned for deployment by end of 2026
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Q4 2026
OpenAI Private Inference preview (confidential computing), promised for fall 2026
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Q4 2026
OpenAI’s first AMD Helios (MI455X) capacity expected online in Q4 2026
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Q4 2026
Round Hill v. Suno and v. Anthropic: first motions and case schedule (N.D. Cal.)
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Q4 2026
Runway Praxis-1 robot model open weights (‘in the coming months’)
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Q4 2026
Tesla Optimus V3 (Gen 3) public unveil
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Q4 2026
xAI Grok 5 release (“within 2026”)
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Q4 2026
OpenAI dots expansion: more plans, texting, extra dots and specialist dots
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Q4 2026
OpenAI’s next Astra-tier model (a fixed GPT-6.1 Astra or successor) after the Sept 28 cancellation
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Q4 2026
xAI expected to release Grok 4.8
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Q4 2026
Meta’s next Muse models: a Wonder-class model in the Spark size, and ‘the next step up’
Nothing of this kind here.
2027 and later
Dated plans further ahead, by month, up to August 2028.
Show 44 items in 2027 and 2028
January 2027
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Friday
California SB 53: first anonymized critical-incident summaries and AG whistleblower report due
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Friday
Colorado’s rewritten AI Act takes effect
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Friday
Connecticut companion-chatbot rules and frontier-developer internal reporting deadline take effect (SB 5)
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Friday
Gemini 3.6/3.7/3.8 Flash introductory prices end (e.g. 3.8 Flash to $1.50/$7.50)
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Friday
New York RAISE Act (frontier AI safety law) takes effect
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CES 2027, Las Vegas, Jan 6–9
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Wednesday
OpenAI shuts down gpt-realtime, gpt-audio and gpt-4o realtime/audio models
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EU DMA: Google must start sharing anonymised search data with rival search engines and AI chatbots
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First Proof fourth batch results (research-math benchmark for AI)
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Omron’s $675M acquisition of OnLogic expected to close
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Project Meridian (Musk, Luckey, Gingrich) due to report on future warfare within 120 days
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White House ‘Super Intelligence Force’ (chair Jay Clayton) due to deliver its 120-day report on AI risks and opportunities
February 2027
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Wednesday
Final approval hearing for Apple’s $250M Apple Intelligence Siri settlement (Landsheft v. Apple)
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Friday
OpenAI shuts down whisper-1 and gpt-4o-transcribe models in the API
March 2027
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MWC Barcelona 2027, Mar 1–4
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NVIDIA GTC 2027, San Jose, Mar 15–18
Q1 2027, month not given
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Q1 2027
Alibaba Zhenwu V900 AI chip release (Q1 2027)
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Q1 2027
America.gov update to let users complete federal forms, applications and renewals
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Q1 2027
FDA decision on Takeda’s zasocitinib (computationally designed TYK2 inhibitor), due Q1 2027
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Q1 2027
Huawei Ascend 960DT chip (Q1 2027)
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Q1 2027
NVIDIA’s ~$12.9B acquisition of Hugging Face expected to close in H1 2027
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Q1 2027
OpenAI’s first Jony Ive-designed device (smart speaker with camera), not before end of Feb 2027
April 2027
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Google Cloud Next 2027, Las Vegas, Apr 13–15
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ICLR 2027, Apr 26–30
May 2027
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Google I/O 2027 (expected May)
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Microsoft Build 2027 (expected May)
June 2027
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CVPR 2027, Jun 20–25
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Monday
Geneva AI Summit 2027 (next international AI summit), Jun 21–22
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Apple WWDC 2027 (expected June)
Q2 2027, month not given
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Q2 2027
Meta VR Glasses ($1,299.99) ship in spring 2027
July 2027
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IMO 2027, Budapest, Jul 16–26 (AI results expected)
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Monday
Apple v. OpenAI trade-secrets jury trial set to begin (N.D. Cal., Judge Edward Davila)
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ICML 2027 (South America, dates tentative)
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World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) 2027, Shanghai
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New York’s one-year data center permitting moratorium (Executive Order No. 62) is due to expire
August 2027
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Monday
EU AI Act: GPAI models placed on the market before Aug 2025 must comply
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EU DMA: rival AI assistants must get Gemini-equivalent access to Android features
Q3 2027, month not given
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Q3 2027
Huawei Ascend 960PR chip (Q3 2027)
October 2027
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Friday
Pentagon’s four-star Autonomous Warfare Command (AutoWarCom) due to stand up
December 2027
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Thursday
EU AI Act: Annex III high-risk obligations apply
Q4 2027, month not given
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Q4 2027
1X targets 100,000+ NEO units/year capacity by end of 2027
2027, month not given
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GEMA v. OpenAI: appeal at the Munich Higher Regional Court
March 2028
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OpenAI’s self-set goal: an automated AI researcher by March 2028
August 2028
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Wednesday
EU AI Act: Annex I (AI in regulated products) high-risk obligations apply
Nothing of this kind here.
Calendar file
One event for each of the 56 items with a day or a week. Subscribe to the address, and your calendar app picks up changes.
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