roon (OpenAI): why would Anthropic staff’s Nobel-discovery expectation not be >95%?
roon @tszzlX
Why it matters
OpenAI staffer’s widely seen reaction (~61k views) to the survey item that 58% of Anthropic staff expect a Nobel-level discovery by Claude by 2027.
Summary
Posted Oct 16 22:01 UTC by roon (@tszzl); 60,761 views, 2,120 likes, 40 reposts when read via api.fxtwitter.com on 2026-10-17. Quotes @MTSlive: “SITUATION DETECTED: 58% of Anthropic staff expect Claude to be able to make a Nobel prize level scientific discovery by 2027.”.
Archived text
why would this not be >95%? alphafold made a nobel prize winning discovery in 2018. openai made several fields medal level discoveries just this year
Quoting @MTSlive: SITUATION DETECTED: 58% of Anthropic staff expect Claude to be able to make a Nobel prize level scientific discovery by 2027.