Post-Cutoff

Lisan al Gaib: surveyed Anthropic staff’s answers imply 17.1% GDP growth in 2030

Lisan al Gaib @scaling01X

Why it matters

Most-viewed X post (~85k) on Anthropic’s expectations-gap report, pulling out the model-implied 17.1% GDP-growth figure.

Summary

Posted Fri Oct 16 21:00:00 +0000 2026 by Lisan al Gaib (@scaling01); 84,648 views, 469 likes, 20 reposts when read via api.fxtwitter.com on 2026-10-17. Quote of the author’s own post ‘On average, Anthropic employees expect AI to be capable of performing 75% of their current work hours by 2030’ (~47k views), with a chart from the report.

Archived text

Surveyed Anthropic staff’s answers imply 17.1% GDP growth in 2030

Quoting @scaling01: On average, Anthropic employees expect AI to be capable of performing 75% of their current work hours by 2030

Source: x.com/scaling01/status/2111200512003428508Archived 2026-10-17 via fxtwitter (unofficial).Counts: 86,666 views, 471 likes, 20 reposts, 19 replies (at fetch time)Media: image

Cited in

  1. Research 108 days after the cutoff

    Anthropic publishes two economics reports